Bitcoin's price is showing signs of a new rally as macroeconomic factors align in favor of risk assets.
Frankfurt, March 6, 2025 — Bitcoin (BTC) is poised for a significant price movement in the coming weeks, with analysts suggesting a potential rally could be imminent. The primary catalyst appears to be the US dollar's decline to its lowest level in four months, with the DXY (US Dollar Index) nearing 104. This drop in the dollar's value has historically correlated with increased investment in risk assets like Bitcoin and equities.
Analyst Perspectives
Dragosch has identified the DXY chart as the strongest bullish signal for Bitcoin, suggesting that the current market conditions could drive Bitcoin's price higher. The global money supply expansion, particularly in the US, has increased liquidity, which could further boost Bitcoin's price.
Colin Talks Crypto has highlighted March 25 as a critical date for Bitcoin, predicting a significant bull run. The analyst noted, "The stock market, Bitcoin, and the crypto market are about to experience a crazy surge. March 25 is a crucial date."
Bitcoin Reserve Speculation
The speculation surrounding a potential US strategic Bitcoin reserve continues to gain traction. Kalshi's predictions show a 71% probability of the US creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2025, the highest level recorded to date. This development could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Price Analysis
Bitcoin's price has shown resilience despite recent corrections. The MVRV Z-Score, which compares Bitcoin's market value to its realized value, suggests that BTC may be undervalued. This metric, combined with on-chain data showing increased accumulation by institutional investors, points to potential upward price movement.
Conclusion
The confluence of macroeconomic factors, speculative interest in a US Bitcoin reserve, and technical indicators suggests that Bitcoin could be on the verge of a significant price rally. Investors and traders are advised to monitor these developments closely as the market continues to evolve.